Physical Risk Analysis of Ship Grounding

نویسندگان

  • S. Lin
  • H. L. Kite-Powell
  • N. M. Patrikalakis
چکیده

This study presents an analysis on the factors contributing to groundings when ships transit in and out of ports. The study has been part of a three-year project on “Ship Transit Risk”. By verifying the grounding location database generated during the first two years of the project against the United States Coast Guard’s grounding accident data, an updated database was established in this research. Within the frame of this new database, two factors were analyzed—tide and time of day. The results suggest that tide forecast error (predicted tide water level minus observed tide water level) had no significant effect as a risk factor, and that night navigation was far more risky than day navigation.

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تاریخ انتشار 1998